— CASE STUDY 01 • CONSUMER STRATEGY
When growth becomes the enemy.
01
1 M
INSTALLS
11 K
MONTHLY ACTIVES
$21
MONTHLY REVENUE
A million installs. Eleven thousand monthly users. Twenty-one dollars a month. The founders were about to put most of a $2.5m raise into acquiring more users: pouring water into a bucket with no bottom. We found the hole before the spend started.
01 The diagnosis
The funnel was not the problem. People were finding the product, downloading it, and signing up at rates that would satisfy most early conversations. What happened next was the problem. Revenue per active user sat at $0.002, 460 times below the nearest peer. There was no paywall, no subscription, no recurring mechanism of any kind.
Engagement told the same story. Daily-to-monthly active users sat at 3.4% against a healthy 15–25%; users opened the app less than once a week. Churn ran at 25% a month. The product had been built to be downloaded, not to form a habit, and it was Android-only, in a market where the other platform generates roughly 80% of the revenue.
02 The conflict
The plan was to commit the majority of a $2.5m raise to performance marketing. At a payer rate of 0.3% against the 3% those economics required, every acquired dollar would be written off, not recovered. Deploying capital into acquisition first would have destroyed value, not created it. The traction was real, but surface-level: installs and sign-ups, not retained, paying users.
Seal the bucket before you fill it.
03 The prescription
Three interventions, in sequence. A paywall live within 60 days; even 0.5% conversion turns $21 into a monetisation signal an investor can underwrite. Geographic concentration: a proximity product needs density, so build it in two anchor cities before expanding to ten. And iOS, on a six-month horizon, because the platform is a determinant of who uses the product and how much they spend, not just a distribution channel.
04 The outcome
We rebuilt the five-year model on corrected assumptions and delivered the full investor package. The $2.5m raise was repositioned as a Year 2 milestone, pursued on twelve months of paywall data, improving engagement and a payer rate above 1%, the point at which the model crosses the 3× LTV:CAC institutional benchmark. The founders got, for the first time, an honest account of where the business stood.
The path from $21 a month to a fundable company was never a marketing problem. It was a product problem, and acting on it first saved a raise that would otherwise have been spent proving the wrong thing.
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